One great way to play market volatility is invest in the VIX. When the market gyrates, which is does every year (look up the stats on how many 5% and 10% moves the market makes in a year). Most people look only at the beginning of the year and then the end of the year and say, "did the market go up or down?" Occasionally a large crash, say over 10% will occur that will get the public's attention.

The VIX had been scaping a historical bottom in the low teens for what seems like forever and then, pop, it hit 60. Investing in that was a five bagger, that is your investment would increase 5 times, or a $100,000 investment would be worth $500,000 in a short period of time.

​Not bad.

Spring is here and you know what that means? Yes, the end of shoulder season and time to buy Nat Gas. Today is the day to scale all in buying Nat Gas. When it comes to commodities they tend to go to from one extreme to another. Just last year the price was $10 per Bcf. You kidding me. Now it has been sub $2 for too long. It can't stay at this level. It is going up. Mark my words. Buy.

VIX is giving us another chance to get in on this year's action with a dip. The economy is in shambles, interest rates are skyrocketing, commercial real estate is suffering. It is just a matter of time. Get in while you can as volatility will increase throughout the year.

As I said in my last post, haven't seen two sure things in a year since 2008.

Nat Gas continues its plunge from a Ukrainian War high of over $10bcf to back under $3bcf. If you would have invested back when we wrote about it you could have purchase an ETF for just under $10. That ETF just ripped passed $170. Wow! You only need to hit one of those in an investment lifetime to secure your retirement. They don't come along that often, then again neither do wars in Europe or Worldwide Pandemics. Wait a minute... maybe they do come along more often than people realize. Third Derivative Investing is a method of evaluating these possible Black Swan events and profitably taking advantage of them. 

I have been doing this a long time and I can't remember... ever... a time when there were two sure things in a single year.

Two sure things that could double or triple your money in a short period of time.

But here they are. You have the VIX at historic lows and now Nat Gas as well. They only way they can go (eventually) is up.

I say eventually because you have to know how to trade, even when you are presented with a Third Derivative type of investment like these two. Will they go up? Yes guaranteed. Can you still lose your money? Yes indeed. If you do not know how to invest correctly.

Feel free to contact us here at Pecunia Capital.

At an average price of $12, looking for at least a double. This is a perfect example of Third Derivative Investing, waiting for a year plus for a profitable investment idea to come along, just the right time, just the right risk/reward ratio.

If you have any questions or want to learn more contact us.

​Time to Big!

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) just hit a 52-week low under $13 and we have begun to scale into an investment in a big way.

Personally, we think that the current high interest rates are going to sink housing and cause a recession. But we can wait to see whether that happens and invest accordingly.

Until then we will get paid quite handsomely if the markets start to gyrate which they always do and with the VIX this low...

​The only way it will go is up.

Natural Gas reserves are way above their five-year average, so we expected them to retreat in the short term and they did.

We entered the trade on November 11 and just exited for greater than a double.

Nat Gas seems to be the only thing that is moving in these markets...

Everything else is just trending...

​For now.

Natural Gas prices shocked the markets last year rising to over $10 a bcf, which as we posted about was civilizationally unsustainable, but that's what European wars will do.

Our investment purchased last year at $10.25 has risen to just under $90. That is Third Derivative Investing at its finest.

Perhaps we should just take the rest of the year off, but the research never stops.

Nat Gas seems to be the only thing moving these days as the market looks to see what will happen next, deficits, wars, inflation...

Patience pays off, there is always a bubble somewhere in the market, just have to wait for it.

What a year for Natural Gas which topped out at around $10 per bcf last year and is now sitting in the low $2's.

An investment bought at $10.25 is now sitting at $90. That is Third Derivative Investing.

We should take the year off but the research never stops.

War in Ukraine, Chaos in the Energy Markets, Rising Interest Rates and now an election which may switch the Congress from the Democrats to the Republicans. These are Third Derivative Investing times. That is time to make money.

It has been a long year watching the markets, waiting patiently for the right times to invest. We here at Pecunia Capital have been making steady progress but it is now time to go all in. 

We are shorting Nat Gas in a big way. Starting today. Nat Gas is currently sitting at $7.20, a price that is civilization-ally unsustainable. But understandable given the disruptions in the global energy complex.  But there is a break in the clouds (actually it is raining here in Los Angeles right now), because the cash price is currently sitting at around $4, with even lower prices in the other various hubs. Not sure I've ever seen such a divergence, but this will make us some money. Contact us if you would like to hear more.